Landfill Methane Is 5 Times Higher Than Officially Reported — and Why That Matters During COP30

A new study in Nature Climate Change has revealed something alarming but not unexpected: U.S. landfills are emitting five times more methane than the Environmental Protection Agency’s official data shows. Using satellites and aircraft, researchers identified persistent methane “super-emitters” — large, invisible plumes of climate pollution that current monitoring systems routinely miss.

The results confirm what communities and scientists have warned for years: EPA’s outdated, honor-system is leaving massive methane leaks unchecked.

What the Study Found

  • Massive undercounting. Current reporting assumes high gas-capture efficiency. This study shows those assumptions are wrong.

  • Persistent leaks and Super Emitters. These aren’t one-day events; the same plumes were detected repeatedly.

Methane is a super pollutant - A fivefold undercount means the U.S. is missing one of the fastest, cheapest ways to slow global warming — and to deliver cleaner air for communities who live closest to landfills.

U.S. States Leading, Solutions Ready to Scale

The good news? We already know what works - updating landfill regulations to the modern era and comprehensive organics waste prevention and recycling. 

  • Modernize how landfills find and measure methane: Require modern, continuous methane monitoring — drones, satellites, and fixed sensors.

  • Close loopholes that allow landfills to slip through the cracks. Most landfills emit methane—but today, only landfills that meet poorly designed criteria are required to take common-sense steps like installing gas collection systems to capture methane gas

  • Require the use of proven best practices in methane mitigation and prevention such as earlier installation of gas capture systems, well tuning and better landfill cover practices.

  • Tackle the largest polluters: require landfill owners to turn data into action and address major sources of methane leaks once they’re identified. 

  • Hold landfills accountable to neighboring communities: create processes and mechanisms for community members to seek accountability from landfills that don’t play by the rules.

  • Expand composting and food-recovery programs to keep organics out of landfills.

Right now world leaders are in COP 30 in Brazil — where countries will face pressure to demonstrate real progress toward the Global Methane Pledge, a commitment to cut global methane 30 percent by 2030.

According to Full Circle Future’s recent analysis, state-level landfill action alone could achieve 41 percent of the U.S. methane-reduction goal for the landfill sector and 10 percent of the nation’s entire pledge. That’s a major contribution hiding in plain sight.

States like Colorado, Maryland, Oregon, and Washington have already shown that smarter landfill standards and strong organics-diversion programs can slash emissions while creating local jobs and improving public health. 

This Nature Climate Change study makes one thing clear: our landfill methane problem is even bigger than we thought. Stronger landfill standards and organic-waste solutions can deliver immediate wins for the climate and for public health — and bring us much closer to fulfilling our Global Methane Pledge.

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Two U.S. Landfills Make the List of World’s Biggest Methane Emitters